~nextbigfuture-com | Bookmarks (395)

Greenland joining the USA could make Greenlanders the richest in the world on a per capita basis by quadrupling per capita income and the overall GDP. Based on Greenland’s Self-Government Act of 2009, Greenland has the right to self-determination, including the option of independence. This seems to mean that if Greenland holds a referendum and ... Read more

Blue Origin plans to finally fly the New Glenn rocket and to get a lot of launches. The first launch is in days. For 2025, they expect to have between 8 and 10 launches, with the capacity for up to 12 launches. In 2026, Blue Origin aims to increase this number to 24 launches. Blue ... Read more

The billionaire investors and entrepreneurs at the All in Podcast described 2025 as the year of AI and robots. I, Brian Wang, and Randy Kirk reviewed why and how AI and robots will be transforming the world. Summarizing the key points and claims and providing context. Dave Frieberg says 2025 is the year when people ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, made a bunch of correct calls on the stock price movement of Tesla over the past few months. Tesla pulled back after hitting a high of $488. This was after more than doubling from $213 at the end of October, 2024. Tesla disappointed with 495000 cars delivered in Q4 2024, when there ... Read more

Youtube channel What About It?, Felix Schlang, dives deep into the technology of the SpaceX Raptor 3 engine. SpaceX has made new alloys for withstanding the heat and have build channels and other structures into the engine. This vastly superior engine outperforms the RS-25 engine that was used on the Space Shuttle and is still ... Read more

Jan 10, 2025, SpaceX Starship will have the seventh laucnh and deploy 10 Starlink simulators. They will be similar in size and weight to next-generation (V3) Starlink satellites as the first exercise of a satellite deploy mission. The Starlink simulators will be on the same suborbital trajectory as Starship, with splashdown targeted in the Indian ... Read more

There is an anonymous commenter who wanted to be a troll about my prediction track record and where I was wrong about technology. I discuss my public predictions and go more deeply into nuclear fusion and other specific topics. My writing that years ago that emdrive and Mach Effect propulsion researchers made and that nuclear ... Read more

There will be many new rockets getting first launches in 2025. There will be the Blue Origin New Glenn and the Rocket Lab Neutron. There will be many as many as 16 new rockets from China, the USA and other countries. There should be huge advances with the SpaceX Starship. There will be a first ... Read more

Brian Wang has had over 90% accuracy with public predictions on public websites like Metaculus and Manifold. OpenAI O3 model has shown that greater than human PHD reasoning is possible but with about 30,000 GPUs taking 30 minutes to infer the answer. I forecast an increase to 1 million GPU AI training from 100,000 at ... Read more

There are 370 SpaceX DTC (Direct to Cellphone) Starlink satellites in orbit now. There could be over 1000 SpaceX DTC satellites by the end of 2025. The @SpaceX team achieved an unprecedented launch cadence, conducting 134 Falcon launches with 89 dedicated to expanding the Starlink constellation. Companies working with SpaceX on Direct to Cellphone service. ... Read more

SpaceX Starship will launch V3 Starlink satellites, which will add 60 Tbps of capacity to the network per launch. This will be more than 20x the bandwidth of each Falcon 9 launch today. And with a glimpse of the future, views from Starship entering Earth’s atmosphere were made possible by Starlink. Soon, Starship will launch ... Read more

NASA’s Parker Solar Probe hurtled through the solar atmosphere at a blazing 430,000 miles per hour — faster than any human-made object has ever moved. The NASA Solar Probe flew 3.8 million miles above the surface of the Sun. This is about 25 times closer to the Sun than the earth.

The long-delayed Flamanville 3 EPR reactor in Normandy in northern France has begun delivering electricity to the grid. The 1630 MWe (net) pressurised water reactor was connected to the grid for the first time at 11:48 (local time) on Saturday. Construction work began in December 2007 on the third unit at the Flamanville site – ... Read more

OpenAI o3 achieved an 88.5% score on the ARC-AGI benchmark using high computing equipment which is beyond most humans at 77% scores. OpenAI used up to $10,000 worth of compute for each AGI answer. At a rate of around $1.45 to $1.49 per hour, $10,000 would cover approximately 6,711 to 6,897 GPU hours in Nvidia ... Read more

China DeepSeek AI matches the performance of AI while using only 9% of the AI training compute. The continued improvement in AI while using resources more efficiently shows we will reach AGI at affordable costs for training and inference. AI will reach higher levels of intelligence and energy and computation will get more efficient. DeepSeek ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, shared my 2025 Tesla share price predictions and analysis with Herbert Ong. My bear case is $700 at the end of the year. The base case is $1000 and the bull case is $1500. The bear case is where there is just 500,000 more cars to 2.3 million and megapack energy ramps ... Read more

The scaling of the data centers and progress with AI will continue to surprise people and change the world. Tesla and xAI are at the center of the AI changes. IF the training compute scaling and the inference compute scaling continue to show massive benefits, then this will ensure AI models will have improved capabilities ... Read more

The most important things that happened in 2024 was the progress in AI, robotics and space capability. We are on the verge of AGI (Artificial general intelligence), robotaxi and fully reusable rockets. The most shocking images of the imminent future was the mechazilla catch of the SpaceX booster. As of 23 December 2024 the Starlink ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Space (NNS) will focus on optimizing “ZEUS”, a solid core battery reactor, and “ODIN”, a low-pressure coolant reactor, for applications such as power systems for extraterrestrial projects and human sustaining environments, and potentially propulsion technology for long haul space missions. NNS’ initial focus will be on cis-lunar applications, referring to uses in the ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NNE) developing small nuclear fission reactors that can be moved with trucks announced that it has executed a definitive agreement to acquire select nuclear energy technology assets from Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (collectively, “USNC”). The acquired assets include USNC’s patented Micro Modular Reactor (MMR) system, ... Read more

xAI finished raising $6 billion in new funding and has begun receiving Nvidia GB200 chips. The chips are arriving about a month earlier than expected in a prior chart. I have adjusted by a month for xAI releases. I have also added the Google Gemini models. Google appears able to not have as much issue ... Read more