~marginalrevolution | Bookmarks (551)

You can re-read it here.  Much-maligned at the time, I might add. The post Reupping my post on the vibe shift appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsIn reply to Anti-Gnostic. I'm sure you'll be the first ... by GridlockIn reply to Peter Akuleyev. It wasn’t close. He now has all ... by Prester JohnIn reply to M. No, I think Europe and India...

Here is the link. The post Track your ballot measure appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsIn reply to Dave T. Over 20 million fewer votes, and it's not ... by Anti-GnosticIn reply to Anti-Gnostic. Because the 2024 total is well less ... by Dave TIt appears that the reformers picked the wrong election to try ... by superdestroyerAlso, while I'm here, how are...

1. Sports and neurodiversity. 2. Twenty-five facts about The Winter’s Tale. 3. How do business owners run governments? 4. Toward a theory of optimal regret. 5. Robots in Japanese nursing homes. 6. The costs of anti-German sentiment during WWI. The post Tuesday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsIn reply to Roger Sweeny. Yeah, that's true, but that's just ... by CBIn...

…comments are open.  Just don’t expect Alex and I to read it… The post If you must discuss today’s events… appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsIn reply to M. M: I don't believe that the die was cast for ... by blue jayNailed my election forecast!!! ... by John SmithIn reply to John. Hi John, Thanks for the observations. ... by Mark BahnerIn...

Nuclear power plants are designed to withstand a plane crash. We are now getting a live experiment in whether the nuclear sector is built of similar stuff, after federal regulators dropped a bomb on Friday night. In a 2-1 vote, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission rejected an amended interconnection agreement for the deal that sparked a frenzy for […] The post The Amazon nuclear project appeared first...

Plans by Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta to build an AI data centre in the US that runs on nuclear power were thwarted in part because a rare species of bee was discovered on land earmarked for the project, according to people familiar with the matter. Zuckerberg had planned to strike a deal with an existing nuclear […] The post How much is a rare bee...

Here is a new paper by the following set of authors: Manuel Hoffmann Harvard Business School, Sam Boysel Harvard Business School, Frank Nagle Harvard Business School, Sida Peng Microsoft Corporation, Kevin Xu GitHub, Inc.  Here is the abstract: Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) technology demonstrate considerable potential to complement human capital intensive activities. While an emerging literature documents wide-ranging productivity effects of AI, relatively […] The post Generative AI and the Nature of...

From a new and very interesting web site on that topic: Significant Increase in Causal Claims: The average proportion of causal claims in papers rose significantly from approximately 5% in 1990 to around 28% in 2020, reflecting the impact of the credibility revolution in economics. Growth in Causal Inference Methods and decline in Theoretical and Simulation Methods… Intricate […] The post Causal claims in economics appeared first...

1. Does the moon around Uranus have an ocean? 2. Those new service sector jobs. 3. Aarthia and Sriram interview Anil Varanasi. 4. Fluoride update. 5. Update on the Worm Wars. 6. This criticism of Roger Scruton is in fact one of the better appreciations of him. The post Monday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsHey, let's also ban the Haber-Bosche...

This article conducts a comprehensive analysis of specialization trends within and across fields of economics research. We collect data on 24,273 articles published between 1970 and 2016 in general research economics outlets and employ machine learning techniques to enrich the collected data. Results indicate that theory and econometric methods papers are becoming increasingly specialized, with […] The post Specialization trends in economics appeared first...

This paper documents the effects of new communication technologies on immigrants’ socio-economic integration, spatial and job segregation, and networking behavior. Combining data on home-country Internet expansion shocks with data on immigrants’ linguistic skill, naturalization, location choice, and employment in the US, I find that home-country Internet slows down immigrants’ social and economic integration. The effect […] The post Does the internet limit immigrant assimilation?...

1. Profile of Donald Harris and his economic thought (New Yorker…note I knew of Donald long before I knew of Kamala, and definitely though of him as a Marxist). 2. Final James C. Scott book is coming. 3. Economic effects of Evangelical Christianity. 4. New Murakami novel is coming. 5. New Emmanuel Carrère book is […] The post Sunday assorted links appeared first on...

Does the entry of a large employer to a local labor market increase welfare for residents? To answer this question, I analyze the local effects of the dramatic expansion of Amazon’s fulfillment center (FC) network from 2010 onward. I exploit the staggered roll-out of FCs across large U.S. metros in a difference-in-difference framework. I find […] The post Local Labor Market Effects of Amazon...

I have argued that there are on the order of just 164 thousand very high-IQ workers in the United States. How do we get more? Ian Calaway on the job market from Stanford has an interesting paper arguing that early math mentors can be a force multiplier for students with superior math abilities. Calaway estimates […] The post Increasing the Supply of Very High-IQ...

Happy Birthday Spinoza! The post Spinoza is ten years old today appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.         CommentsIn reply to dearieme. “Sharing”. Indeed! by bazzaIn reply to rayward. I recall a post introducing Spinoza ... by bazzaVote for Spinoza on Tuesday! by SJWe went out for lunch yesterday and had the pleasure of sharing ... by deariemeHow did I miss that Cowen has a...

Sandro Luna, Austin, easier ways of getting blood pressure readings. Divyan Bavan, Ontario, 17, machine learning for biology. Michael Domarkas, 17, Surrey, UK, general career support for the biosciences. Saras Agrawal, 17, Alberta, AI to monitor heart attack risk. Charmaine Lee, NYC, music composition and performance. Jodi Ettenberg, Ottawa, podcast on how to deal with […] The post Emergent Ventures winners, 38th cohort appeared...

1. “Using spatial regression discontinuity and instrumental variable designs, we find that areas with greater historical exposure to homesteading are poorer and more rural today.”  From Harvard job market candidate Ross Mattheis. 2. Steve Mariotti, RIP (NYT). 3. Costco hearing aids as loss leader (WSJ). 4. Interview with Cynthia Haven. 5. The new trench warfare […] The post Saturday assorted links appeared first on...

From the team that brought you Hayek v. Keynes we have the immigration rap battle featuring “George Borjas,” “Garett Jones” and “Stephen Miller” on team build the wall and “Bryan Caplan” and “Alex Nowrasteh” on open the border. I wouldn’t say the actors (AI?), look very much like their real world counterparts but much respect […] The post The Immigration Rap Battle appeared first...

Workers missed an average of 19.4 days because of illness in 2023, according to Techniker Krankenkasse, the country’s largest public health insurance provider. Preliminary figures suggest the trend is on course to continue its upward trajectory, TK told the Financial Times, exacerbating challenges for an economy that many expect to contract for the second year […] The post Germany fact of the day, the...

That is the topic of my latest Bloomberg column, as the Cathedral is reopening in December.  The government wants to charge visitors five euros, but the Church is opposed.  Here is part of my proffered solution: First, charge a fee — but make it €10 rather than €5. If seeing Notre Dame is worth only […] The post Should Notre Dame charge admission? appeared...

1. The gender gap in apologies.  Marshall Mo is on the job market from Stanford, and has a very interesting broader portfolio. 2. Haitian zombie show at Quai Branly in Paris (NYT). 3. Is dark energy from black holes? And axions as dark matter? (NYT) 4. The Rational Optimist Society. 5. Repeal the EU AI […] The post Friday assorted links appeared first on...

On average, moving to a 1 standard deviation better instructor would increase a student’s next semester GPA by 0.13 points, and earnings six years after college entry by 17%. Strikingly, value-added is only weakly correlated with student evaluations. An instructor retention policy based on value-added would result in 2.7% higher earnings for students attending Texas […] The post Instructor value-added in higher education appeared...

Science: We examined the impact of sugar exposure within 1000 days since conception on diabetes and hypertension, leveraging quasi-experimental variation from the end of the United Kingdom’s sugar rationing in September 1953. Rationing restricted sugar intake to levels within current dietary guidelines, yet consumption nearly doubled immediately post-rationing. Using an event study design with UK […] The post Sugar Babies appeared first on Marginal...

Corrective policy in sports betting markets is motivated by concerns that demand may be distorted by behavioral bias. We conduct a field experiment with frequent sports bettors to measure the impact of two biases, overoptimism about financial returns and self-control problems, on the demand for sports betting. We find widespread overoptimism about financial returns. The […] The post Are sports bettors overly optimistic? appeared...